Our publications on COVID-19

  • MV Barbarossa and J Fuhrmann, Compliance with NPIs and possible deleterious effects on mitigation of an epidemic outbreak, submitted to Inf Diseases Model, preprints (2021) preprint available
  • J Bracher, D Wolffram, J Deuschel, K Görgen, J  Ketterer, A Ullrich, S. Abbott, MV Barbarossa, et al., Short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during the second wave – a preregistered study, submitted to Nature Comm, in revision (2020) preprint available 
  • MV Barbarossa and J Fuhrmann, Germany's next shutdown - possible scenarios and outcomes,  Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses (2020)
  • MV Barbarossa, N Bogya, A Dénes, G Röst, H  Vinod Varma, Zs Vizi, Fleeing lockdown and its impact on the size of epidemic outbreaks in the source and target regions - a COVID-19 lesson, Scientific Reports 11:9233 (2021)
  • J Fuhrmann and MV Barbarossa, The significance of case detection ratios for predictions on the outcome of an epidemic - a message from mathematical modelers. Arch Public Health 78, 63 (2020).
  • MV Barbarossa, J Fuhrmann, J Meinke, S Krieg, HV Varma, N Castelletti, and Th Lippert, Modeling the spread of COVID-19 in Germany: Early assessment and possible scenarios PLOS ONE 15(9): e0238559 (2020)
  • MV Barbarossa, J Fuhrmann, J Heidecke, HV Varma, N Castelletti, J Meinke, S Krieg and Th Lippert, A first study on the impact of current and future control measures on the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, medRxiv (2020)
Barbarossa Group